{"product_id":"the-logic-of-chance","title":"La lógica del azar","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eWhat do you really mean when you say something is probable?\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eIn The Logic of Chance, John Venn takes a familiar word and asks what holds it up. Does probability describe how strongly you believe something, or a pattern in events? His answer starts with a series: a long run of similar events, rather than one isolated case.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eVenn follows that idea into statistics, insurance, science and everyday judgment. He explores how unpredictable outcomes can form steady patterns, and where those patterns stop being reliable. Most of his argument unfolds in words, not mathematics, as he challenges rival views and asks how evidence should guide a decision.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003ch3\u003eWhat you'll discover\u003c\/h3\u003e\u003cul\u003e\n\u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003ePatterns beneath uncertain outcomes\u003c\/strong\u003e – Explore how a steady series can emerge from individual events that remain unpredictable.\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eBelief put to the test\u003c\/strong\u003e – Follow Venn’s challenge to the idea that probability simply measures how strongly someone believes.\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eWhen statistics deserve trust\u003c\/strong\u003e – See why the stability of a series matters before you rely on its patterns.\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eThe leap to one case\u003c\/strong\u003e – Consider the judgment involved when a long run must guide one particular decision.\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eWitnesses and uncertain evidence\u003c\/strong\u003e – Examine attempts to weigh testimony against the apparent unlikelihood of what a witness reports.\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003c\/ul\u003e\u003cp\u003ePerfect for readers who question familiar words and want to explore the roots of statistics and scientific reasoning through arguments rather than worked formulas.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eOpen the first page now and let Venn sharpen your next question about chance.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Library of Alexandria Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":59534719123804,"sku":null,"price":0.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/1027\/9442\/8764\/files\/10501_en_ebook-front_c03.jpg?v=1792175130","url":"https:\/\/libraryofalexandria.com\/es\/products\/la-logica-del-azar","provider":"The Library of Alexandria","version":"1.0","type":"link"}